Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000104 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000206 0.000247
2026-02-01 0.000075 0.000093 0.000116 0.000145 0.000184 0.000231 0.000296
2026-02-08 0.000064 0.000084 0.000109 0.000143 0.000189 0.000250 0.000337
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000076 0.000102 0.000140 0.000192 0.000265 0.000374
2026-02-22 0.000052 0.000072 0.000100 0.000141 0.000201 0.000288 0.000424
2026-03-01 0.000048 0.000069 0.000098 0.000143 0.000212 0.000314 0.000481
2026-03-08 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000140 0.000213 0.000326 0.000516
2026-03-15 0.000039 0.000059 0.000088 0.000135 0.000212 0.000333 0.000545
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000137 0.000220 0.000355 0.000601
2026-03-29 0.000035 0.000055 0.000085 0.000138 0.000228 0.000379 0.000662
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000052 0.000082 0.000136 0.000230 0.000392 0.000706
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000136 0.000237 0.000415 0.000771
2026-04-19 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000239 0.000431 0.000825
2026-04-26 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000134 0.000245 0.000453 0.000895
2026-05-03 0.000025 0.000042 0.000073 0.000132 0.000246 0.000467 0.000951
2026-05-10 0.000023 0.000040 0.000070 0.000129 0.000246 0.000478 0.000999
2026-05-17 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000130 0.000254 0.000505 0.001089
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000069 0.000132 0.000264 0.000540 0.001199
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000129 0.000263 0.000549 0.001251
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000125 0.000259 0.000551 0.001286
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000062 0.000126 0.000267 0.000581 0.001394
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000032 0.000062 0.000127 0.000275 0.000613 0.001511